Blackjack Card Counting – 1 Deck of Cards

The easiest way to count cards is when the game is played with 1 deck of cards. Below you can see a computer simulation of 100,000,000 blackjack hands dealt. The count is performed on each hand and both the graphic and the table show the frequency of the counts. Without any doubt, the most popular count result is a “0”.

% of times occurred in the games

Count

As you have probably noticed, there are almost no chances you will have a count of +10 and more. However, if you do, this will mean there are lots of high cards in the deck left.

Dealer Up Card Advantage
Count % Prob. this or more
-18 0,00000002% 99,999999999999%
-17 0,00000033% 99,999999976%
-16 0,00000307% 99,99999964%
-15 0,00002107% 99,9999966%
-14 0,00012393% 99,999975%
-13 0,00062605% 99,99985%
-12 0,00274088% 99,9992%
-11 0,01053921% 99,9965%
-10 0,04% 99,986%
-9 0,11% 99,95%
-8 0,28% 99,8%
-7 0,66% 99,6%
-6 1,40% 98,9%
-5 2,68% 97,5%
-4 4,63% 94,8%
-3 7,29% 90,2%
-2 10,50% 82,9%
-1 13,94% 72,4%
0 17,18% 58,5%
1 13,88% 41,3%
2 10,44% 27,4%
3 7,24% 17,0%
4 4,60% 9,7%
5 2,66% 5,1%
6 1,39% 2,5%
7 0,66% 1,1%
8 0,28% 0,4%
9 0,11% 0,2%
10 0,04% 0,0493%
11 0,01049774% 0,0140%
12 0,00271621% 0,0035%
13 0,00061369% 0,0008%
14 0,00011695% 0,00014%
15 0,00001929% 0,000022%
16 0,00000262% 0,0000029%
17 0,00000024% 0,000000286%
18 0,00000005% 0,000000048%
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